The file

Elise Stefanik

Republican · U.S. Representative, New York-21 · New York · Spectrum score +46

House · 2026 ballot ·

Elise Stefanik is U.S. Representative, New York-21 in New York. Political positions and ideology score +46 (Right). Stefanik was a moderate until the market paid for something else.

College: Harvard College, B.A. 2006
Spouse: Matthew Manda (m. 2017)
Children: One
Résumé: U.S. Representative · New York-21 · 2015–
White House / Bush administration staff · 2006–2009

Net worth: $4.2M
Salary: $174,000
Before office: $500K
2026 raised: $8.1M
Years in office: 11

Where Elise stands on the spectrum

Elise Stefanik scores +46 on Spectrum’s left–right line (right), right of center on the economy and conservative on social issues. The number is modeled from twelve issue positions and the public record — not a poll and not a party label.

Composite +46 · Right · economic +36 · social +63 · authoritarian +36

Confidence 94. How we calculate scores →

Background & record

Stefanik was a moderate until the market paid for something else. The file is a member who product-tested MAGA, kept the North Country seat, and tried to cash the clip at the UN. The hearing was policy for some people. For the FEC file it was inventory.

Finances

Modeled midpoints from public disclosures — not an audit of any household.

Net worth

$4.2M

+740% since taking office

House disclosure midpoint, 2025

Before office$500K

Now$4.2M

Bush-White-House staffer to conference chair to UN-audition. Book, PAC, and North Country real-estate-adjacent money.

Money in · 2026 cycle

Raised: $8.1M
Cash on hand: $3.3M

Top industries

Leadership PACs
Defense
Upstate donors

Stock holdings

Index / retirement funds

North Country plus a clip that printed PAC money. Modest public book.

Disclosure midpoint, 2024–25 · STOCK Act ranges, not an audit

VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
Joint
$50K–$250K
VXUS
Vanguard Total International
Joint
$15K–$75K

Ticker	Name	Owner	Range
VTI	Vanguard Total Stock Market	Joint	$50K–$250K
VXUS	Vanguard Total International	Joint	$15K–$75K

Sum of ranges $65K–$325K · midpoint $195K

X sentiment

Last 7 days

Odds

Polymarket · Kalshi

Implied probability from open contracts. Real money, not a poll. Updates while you sit here.

Live wire

Live · checked just now

New articles land here as they publish. Checking about every 12 seconds.

Conflicts

Harvard-hearing clip as a 2024 product launch.
UN ambassador nod that became a fundraising story when it stalled.

Issue detail

−100 left pole · +100 right pole

Economic: +36
Social: +63
Authoritarian: +36
Confidence: 94

Taxes & spending+36
Lower taxes, smaller fiscal footprint
Health care+30
Private insurance markets, fewer mandates
Climate & energy+68
Energy abundance, fewer climate mandates
Business regulation+38
Deregulation and lighter administrative state
Labor & wages+6
Flexible labor markets, right-to-work
Immigration+84
Tighter borders, more deportations
Abortion+38
Restrictions or bans, fetal personhood
Guns+68
Broad Second Amendment, fewer federal limits
Crime & policing+74
More policing, longer sentences, less bail reform
Schools & speech+70
Choice, against gender/DEI curricula
Defense & alliances+40
Hard power, high defense spending, deterrence
Civil liberties+46
Order, platform / campus / speech restrictions for security or morality

Legislative first dimension (NOMINATE-like): 0.42

Compass

Auth · leftAuth · rightLib · leftLib · rightAuthoritarianLibertarianEconomic leftEconomic right

Sources

DW-NOMINATE over time
Wealth and fundraising are modeled midpoints from public disclosures — not an audit.
College, family, and résumé are public-record facts, not a campaign bio.